Projections, Estimates and Demographics

Projections, Estimates and Demographics


Interactive Maps: Virginia Population Estimates


Interactive Maps: Virginia Population Projections


Baby Boomers Graph


Blog Posts

2016 population estimates
The most obvious trend in the population estimates is how much more slowly Virginia and most of its communities are growing this decade.

Aging into our future: Projecting population age structures
By 2020, one in six people, or more than 16% of the population, will be above 65 years of age. The share of older Americans is expected to keep rising to nearly 20% by 2030.

National population projections: Growing but slowing
View our updated population projections through 2040 for the nation as well as the 50 states and District of Columbia.

Population growth in Virginia is reversing decades-old trend, estimates show
Virginia, like Loudoun, has had fewer people moving to it since 2010, while its positive balance of births and deaths is shrinking as its population ages.

Virginians are leaving the Commonwealth, reversing trends
For the 20+ year period that the I.R.S. migration data was been available, Virginia has always had more people moving in than out. However, the 2012 and 2013 migration data shows that this trend may have come to an end.

Rural Virginia: Death in paradise
Rural counties in Virginia, like Dickenson, have been slowly losing their young adult population for decades as many have moved elsewhere to seek more education and work opportunities.

Virginia cancer projections
New cancer cases would be increasing much faster than the growth of the overall population.

Richmond’s quiet transformation
Richmond is undergoing a shift in its racial majority. This time it is generating much less controversy than past changes.

Migration data miscounts millennials, confuses the media
The source you use to count mellennials leads to radically different counts. See the difference, and why it matters.

Birth rates: Comparing Virginia’s counties with countries
Much of Virginia has low birth rates. See which country has the birth rate of your county.

The 2010s are not shaping up to be anything like recent decades
Based on our 2014 population estimates, Virginia’s population is growing much more slowly than in any recent decade.

Veterans of Virginia
Virginia is home to nearly 720,000 veterans, a third of which are between the ages of 35–55.

What race are Hispanics?
There is often a lack of understanding about who identifies as Hispanic and how they fit into the U.S. demographic makeup.

High cotton: When Virginia’s counties hit their peak
Outside of Virginia’s largest urban areas, population growth is not a fact of life.

Virginia is getting older
We had a lot of babies a while back and since then people started living a lot longer.

Counting all concubines
Did you wonder why the Census 2010 form even requested your relationship status in the first place?

Fostering a better future
More than 4,000 children are in the state foster care system, and more than 40 percent of those are 13 to 17 years old.

Virginia’s immigrants: Where do they come from and where are they now?
Immigrants comprise more than 10 percent of the Commonwealth’s population, and live primarily in Northern Virginia. See a map of the distribution.

Virginia’s population estimates: Growing more slowly
Every year the Cooper Center produces the official population estimates for the Commonwealth of Virginia. This year’s estimates show that the population grew by less than one percent between July 2012 and July 2013.

Reports and Population Data

Virginia population estimates (Updated: 01.2015)
These estimates, produced by the Weldon Cooper Center each year, provide the best approximation of the population count on July 1st of the prior year.

Immigrants in Virginia (03.2014)
Until 1970, only 1 in 100 Virginians was born outside of the United States; by 2012, 1 in every 9 Virginians is foreign-born.

Migration patterns and aging in Virginia’s regions (11.2013)
This data brief addresses the question: how do migration patterns affect population aging, especially in rural communities?

National and state population projections (including D.C.)
These population projections detail changes between 2020 and 2040 in overall population and in subgroups by age, sex, race, and Hispanic origin.

Virginia population projections
These 2020, 2030, and 2040 projections include Virginia, its 134 localities and 22 Planning District Commissions (PDCs), and total population projections for large towns.